Self-Destructive Sunshine Today. Nice Weekend Ahead.
An upper level trough will swing across the region today, producing some building clouds and perhaps an isolated shower or two this afternoon. Fortunately, this upper level trough will be replaced by some upper level ridging this weekend, meaning more in the way of sunshine and warmer temperatures. While skies have started off clear this [...]
Sun Returns
Rain will taper down this morning as low pressure lifts northward and away from the area. After picking up 2 to 3″ of rain around the Cape, things will start to dry out later this morning as a front shifts offshore and winds turn to the west. Sunshine will develop around the area between late [...]
Heavy Rain
We are playing catch-up fast. A prolonged rain event is now underway, set to deliver a bunch of much needed rain to Cape Cod. Today’s image is from the NAM computer model. Run after run of the NAM has been hammering the Cape with 2 to as much as 4 inches of rain by the [...]
GFS is a Soaker
This morning’s GFS run has rolled out and it’s bumped up it’s precipitation totals considerably. The new run is noticeably deeper and sharper with the approaching upper level trough. As a result, the region is under the influence of better jet structure (both in the upper levels in terms of evacuating air away and in [...]
SREF Mean
The last 4 runs of the Short-Range Ensemble Forecasting (SREF) system have been quite consistent in terms of total precipitation expected around the Cape with our upcoming rain event. The SREF mean has been advertising a 1 to 2″ rainfall, which is generally in the same ballpark as most other products available. Image Courtesy SPC [...]
